Notes on "Doomsday Models"

Notes on "doomsday models".

I would like to state, briefly and bluntly, why I think the various "Doomsday Models" are worthless as science and as guides to public policy. I hope it will not be deduced that I believe the problems of population control, environmental degradation, and resource exhaustion to be unimportant, or that I think an adequate response to them is a vague confidence that something will turn up. They ar...

Observational Bounds on Cosmic Doomsday

Notes on Survival Models

These are brief notes on Survival Models for the MSc course in Actuarial Mathematics. I reserve the right to modify/expand the notes; any modifications will be published on my webpage:

Doomsday Equilibria for Games on Graphs∗

Two-player games on graphs provide the theoretical framework for many important problems such as reactive synthesis. While the traditional study of two-player zero-sum games has been extended to multi-player games with several notions of equilibria, they are decidable only for perfect-information games, whereas several applications require imperfect-information games. In this paper we propose a...

Lecture notes on: Actuarial Models